Strictly Come Dancing 2019: Kelvin Fletcher won’t be crowned champion – here’s why

Kelvin Fletcher and Oti Mabuse have wowed both the Strictly Come Dancing judges and viewers week after week on the BBC show. The couple have been firm favourites to win the Glitterball Trophy since the competition kicked off but according to data regarding previous winners it seems he may miss out on the top spot.

The former Emmerdale star has consistently scored well with the judges and has yet to find himself in the dreaded dance-off.

However, bookmaker bwin has analysed data from every season of Strictly and it doesn’t look good for Kelvin and Oti.

After looking at the winners from the previous 16 seasons bwin has stated which celebrities are more likely to lift the Glitterball Trophy.

In each of the last three series, the winning couple’s average score over the entire series was lower than two of the other finalists.

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Could Kelvin become a victim of his own success and lose out to one of his lower marked co-stars?

Every past winner since the competition began has been in the top three during one of their first three dances.

Kelvin and Oti topped the leaderboard in week one and three and came third in week two.

But Michelle Visage and Karim Zeroual also fulfil this criteria.

Michelle was third on the leaderboard in week one and three and was second in week two while Karim topped the leaderboard in week two, came eighth in week three and second in week one.

Despite Kelvin’s success on the leaderboard, his top finishes could mean he won’t get the chance to lift the Glitterball Trophy.

Only one couple in the last six years has managed to win the series after finishing in the top three for the first dances.

Does this mean Kelvin’s chances of winning are over before the celebrities have even made it to Blackpool?

Looking at the track records of Kelvin, Michelle and Karim it seems the CBBC presenter could be the dark horse of the competition. 

Karim’s drop to eighth place in the third week of the competition could mean he’ll scoop the number one spot in the final.

Elsewhere the BBC series announced Will Bayley would be leaving the competition. 

The Paralympian was forced to pull out of last weekend’s live show after suffering a knee injury and was giving a pass to this weekend so he would have time to recover.

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However it has since been revealed he will no longer compete.

Discussing the decision, Will said: “I’m gutted my Strictly journey has had to come to an end.

“I’ve loved being part of the show, and am so grateful for the phenomenal support we have received.

“I want to say a special thank you to Janette for believing in me, and giving me the confidence to believe in myself.

“The things we achieved, from our couple’s choice dance, through to the lifts in our salsa, will stay with me forever.”

Strictly Come Dancing continues Saturday on BBC One at 7pm

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